Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.037150 0.040167 0.043336 0.046918 0.050859 0.055070 0.059917
2025-02-23 0.032370 0.036641 0.041381 0.047049 0.053671 0.061194 0.070431
2025-03-02 0.029152 0.034146 0.039919 0.047130 0.055952 0.066472 0.080079
2025-03-09 0.026398 0.031762 0.038167 0.046448 0.056969 0.070025 0.087661
2025-03-16 0.024094 0.029641 0.036446 0.045505 0.057389 0.072650 0.094059
2025-03-23 0.022397 0.028098 0.035262 0.045048 0.058263 0.075771 0.101204
2025-03-30 0.020961 0.026758 0.034199 0.044605 0.059028 0.078691 0.108190
2025-04-06 0.019536 0.025321 0.032887 0.043688 0.059013 0.080448 0.113561
2025-04-13 0.018786 0.024725 0.032640 0.044179 0.060945 0.085025 0.123376
2025-04-20 0.017944 0.023942 0.032073 0.044154 0.062094 0.088492 0.131740
2025-04-27 0.017375 0.023497 0.031936 0.044714 0.064103 0.093340 0.142631
2025-05-04 0.016604 0.022720 0.031275 0.044445 0.064817 0.096214 0.150532
2025-05-11 0.015911 0.022025 0.030703 0.044285 0.065701 0.099441 0.159364
2025-05-18 0.015214 0.021289 0.030030 0.043922 0.066232 0.102120 0.167481
2025-05-25 0.014659 0.020734 0.029590 0.043886 0.067263 0.105668 0.177420
2025-06-01 0.013988 0.019970 0.028795 0.043235 0.067232 0.107402 0.184194
2025-06-08 0.013310 0.019165 0.027897 0.042364 0.066767 0.108336 0.189525
2025-06-15 0.012788 0.018574 0.027300 0.041944 0.067027 0.110532 0.197433
2025-06-22 0.012303 0.018020 0.026733 0.041536 0.067271 0.112701 0.205456
2025-06-29 0.011752 0.017339 0.025933 0.040695 0.066697 0.113322 0.210408
2025-07-06 0.011517 0.017145 0.025901 0.041145 0.068436 0.118332 0.224818
2025-07-13 0.011195 0.016799 0.025605 0.041122 0.069311 0.121760 0.236229
2025-07-20 0.011000 0.016648 0.025621 0.041636 0.071195 0.127258 0.252658